Wuhan, China is set to end its historic lockdown on April 8, but experts think the area could see a second wave of coronavirus cases after restrictions lift.
Travelers are bringing the virus back into Asian countries that have controlled domestic spread, leading to new restrictions in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Taiwan.
To control new waves of infections, countries and cities may need to impose more lockdowns in the future.
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The two-month coronavirus lockdown in Wuhan, China is set to end on April 8, but the city could see yet another devastating wave of infections after that.
Italy has imposed similar measures — its outbreak is now the largest outside China, and its death toll is far higher than China’s. Other countries have followed suit, too.
Since Wuhan’s historic shutdown began on January 23, China has seen a sharp drop-off in its rate of new cases. The country reported no new local infections for the first time on March 19. On Wednesday, it began allowing residents of the Hubei province — outside the region’s capital city of Wuhan — to start leaving if deemed risk-free. Elsewhere in China, classes are resuming and businesses are reopening.
But some experts fear that lifting those restrictions could start the whole process over again.
Lockdowns merely delay the outbreak’s peak by about three months, Dr. Ben Cowling, an epidemiologist at the University of Hong Kong who researches influenza transmission and control measures, told Business Insider.
“What happened in Wuhan and now what’s happened in north Italy is not the peak of an epidemic. That’s about a month away from the peak,” he said. “They are still facing now, most likely, a second wave in one to two months’ time. So are they going to shut down again?”
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Source:: Business Insider